bogan
3rd December 2009, 18:23
As you probably know, statistics have been used to debunk many myths already, lets do the same for the worker levy.
Firstly, the future funding scheme is unnecessary in a balanced situation, however the population distribution is set to change, double the percentage of retirees are forecast by 2061. Lets calculate they levy increase required now, to ensure any retiree claims in future can be paid for without huge increases in future levies.
Obviously this is not an easy task but an easily justifiable ballpark figure should help sway many peoples opinion.
My rough calculations show an 11% increase would suffice, however this doesn't take into account changing accident rates per population with an elderly demographic, claim amounts for same, investment rates on the levies, inflation, population trends after 2061, relative rather than accurate figures have been used for worker numbers and claims payout.... and probably a many more things!
What say you, good idea? or too much work?
currently I need figures for:
Average 65+ year old ACC cost, same for 0-15,15-40,40-65
Proportion of income earners for same groups
Average income for same groups
All for now, will add more things as we need them if theres much interest here
Firstly, the future funding scheme is unnecessary in a balanced situation, however the population distribution is set to change, double the percentage of retirees are forecast by 2061. Lets calculate they levy increase required now, to ensure any retiree claims in future can be paid for without huge increases in future levies.
Obviously this is not an easy task but an easily justifiable ballpark figure should help sway many peoples opinion.
My rough calculations show an 11% increase would suffice, however this doesn't take into account changing accident rates per population with an elderly demographic, claim amounts for same, investment rates on the levies, inflation, population trends after 2061, relative rather than accurate figures have been used for worker numbers and claims payout.... and probably a many more things!
What say you, good idea? or too much work?
currently I need figures for:
Average 65+ year old ACC cost, same for 0-15,15-40,40-65
Proportion of income earners for same groups
Average income for same groups
All for now, will add more things as we need them if theres much interest here