Originally Posted by F5 Dave
Ahh, they were all going to die of old age at some stage anyway, so they dont count.
Professor Professor Emeritus Roger Morris is an epidemiologist and economist who has contributed to disease control in over 50 countries, and has trained epidemiologists in Africa and across Asia how to respond to emerging diseases.A recent estimate gives excess mortality for the world attributable to COVID-19 of 20.6 million, and for the USA 1.2 million. So almost four times as many people have died of COVID-19 worldwide as the official figures suggest.
n New Zealand, at least 2,300 FEWER people have died than expected “under normal circumstances” over the course of the pandemic! Because of the public health measures applied and the high degree of compliance with the measures, deaths from other causes have declined. We have saved lives rather than lost them. Another way of looking at this is to consider life expectancy – at what age do we expect the “typical person” to die? This is more complicated to calculate and can only be determined retrospectively. Over recent decades life expectancy in New Zealand and around the world has been rising steadily due to improved health of the population. But in a recent study that evaluated 37 countries, life expectancy in the United States and Russia fell by two years between 2018 and 2020, due to the effects of the COVID pandemic. In 30 other countries life expectancy also fell, but by smaller amounts, and three countries had no change. Only two countries had an increase in life expectancy over that period - New Zealand gained 8 months and Taiwan 4 months.
Despite doomsayers claiming that the control measures applied by New Zealand would be very damaging to the economy, it has in fact rebounded from the initial global impact of the pandemic far better than countries which adopted less intensive measures, and has achieved high growth in real GDP and the lowest unemployment rate ever recorded in the country.
So New Zealand has managed to achieve both an outstanding result in saving the community from many thousands of deaths from COVID which would have occurred if a relaxed approach had been adopted as proposed by critics and commentators throughout the pandemic, and economic performance through the pandemic has been very favourable, under difficult circumstances.
Professor Emeritus Masey University
Massey University’s highest honour, the Massey Medal.
Gilruth Professor of Animal Health and Director
Clinical and Population Sciences Minneapolis, United States
University of Reading Epidemiology and economics
BVS Hons from the University of Sydney
(FRSNZ) who have been elected to our Academy for distinction in research or for advancing science, technology and the humanities
(CNZM) NZ order of merit
Professor Morris is one of the world's preeminent veterinary epidemiologists. “Given the importance of animal diseases to the export receipts and public health of New Zealanders, the country has been fortunate to have him provide us with the benefit of his knowledge and experience for over 28 years.”
Professor Morris graduated with a Bachelor of Veterinary Science with Honours from the University of Sydney in 1966 and worked at the the University of Melbourne and the University of Minnesota. In 1986, he was appointed Professor of Animal Health at Massey, where he established the globally recognised EpiCentre, a research, consultancy and training centre in epidemiology, biosecurity, food safety and animal health based at Manawatū.
His international reputation was a key factor in Massey winning a $15 million contract from the World Bank and European Union to develop and teach a "One Health" master's degree programme for health professionals across South Asia, in response to the outbreak of H5N1 avian influenza.
He has undertaken hundreds of international consultancies for world governments and major health organisations such as the World Health Organisation and the Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations. He was an adviser to the British government during outbreaks of Bovine spongiform encephalopathy (mad cow disease), foot-and-mouth and avian influenza (bird flu).
In 2003, he was made a Companion of the New Zealand Order of Merit for services to veterinary science. He is a Fellow of the Royal Society of New Zealand, the Australian College of Veterinary Scientists in Epidemiology and the American College of Epidemiology. He has supervised more than 200 doctoral and master's students and written more than 200 scientific papers.
The EpiCentre is an OIE (World Organisation for Animal Health) Collaborating Centre for Epidemiology and Public Health. It is the only such centre in the Asia-Pacific region.
The centre conducts active research in the areas of geographical information systems (GIS), expert systems, multivariate analysis and simulation modelling. It’s active in field work with humans, production animals, companion animals and wildlife in New Zealand, and provides consultancy services and training courses in epidemiology throughout the world.
He is currently consulting for the World Bank on avian influenza projects in Bhutan, China, India, Laos and Mongolia.
All up he is an infinitely superior human than TDL far more qualified than TDL will ever be.
But watch how TDL Dunning krugers himself that he knows more than a epidemiologist and universiy educated ecomonist ie an actual expert the same as he has claimed previously with the NZ mental health foundation the NZ court, the US supreme court us Disyticy court judges and the FBI
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I didn't think!!! I experimented!!!
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