After asking around it sounds like this should be rideable tomorrow without too much bother as far as the snow goes. There’s around 2ft of snow at West Melton still, and there was 1ft of snow at Swannanoa on Monday (obviously less now) and there was around 4” of snow at Loburn on Monday (all gone now), so there was less and less snow the closer you get to Lees Valley.
The main access to Lees Valley for the locals is from the Ashley Gorge end which gets graded in snow conditions and will have been done by now. So, if there’s going to be much snow it’ll be at the Loburn end.
If you really want to play in the snow the Waimak gorge may be the better option as there’s sure to be snow there.
The weather forecast for tomorrow is rain in the morning and fine in the afternoon. If there’s a lot of rain then the river crossing could be a problem as the Okuku river rises real quick in inclement weather. It was running at around 1 m3/s when we did it last time and was also at this level last Sunday but was running at 147m3/s in the crap weather on Monday, had dropped to around 5 m3/s by Weds, was back up to 17 m3/s this morning and at 1515 this afternoon is running at 56 m3/s. So with more rain forecast you’ll be lucky to cross it.
Sooooo, I might go for a play at the Waimak tomorrow afternoon, but it all depends on what the weather actually does, so probably wont make the final decision until tomorrow morning. I don't have the range to be able to go most of the way through Lees valley and be able to turn back and make it out. The Waimak offers more options for baling out if need be.
The views expressed above may not match yours - But that's the reason my Dad went to war - wasn't it?
Life's journey is not to arrive at the grave safely in a well preserved body, .... but rather to skid in sideways, totally worn out,... shouting "man, what a ride"!!!
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