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Thread: NZ houses among least affordable

  1. #1
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    NZ houses among least affordable

    By Anne Gibson
    NZ homes at their least affordable in 18 years

    New Zealanders are paying some of the world's highest house prices compared to our incomes and Auckland ranks alongside London as one of the world's most expensive housing markets.

    The third Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey released today showed it takes Aucklanders 6.9 years of full annual earnings of $57,500 to afford the $395,000 median house price.

    Auckland ranked 21st out of 159 cities surveyed, with the least affordable city being Los Angeles.

    Christchurch ranked 31st out of 159, with its residents taking six years of $48,400 annual earnings to afford the $291,000 median.

    Wellington fared better in place 47 with its residents taking 5.4 years (earning $61,400 annually) to afford the $331,000 median.

    A survey author blamed tight land supply for New Zealand's housing squeeze, saying excessive land use regulation had strangled subdivision expansion and artificially pushed up prices.

    In the past year, New Zealand house prices rose about 10 per cent, significantly more than the rise in people's incomes.

    Most analysts expect Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard to hold the official cash rate at 7.25 per cent on Thursday - and give homeowners a breather from higher mortgage rates - after lower oil prices contributed to better than expected inflation figures.

    Housing Minister Chris Carter told the Affordable Housing Forum in Wellington late last year that the Government had identified three new ways of solving the crisis - new uses of planning rules, special sector partnerships and Government-led development projects on surplus Crown land.

    "People of my generation are deeply disturbed by the enormous difficulties our children face in getting into the housing market, and housing affordability is an issue preoccupying hundreds of thousands of young households around the country.

    "The problem with supply is not that we haven't been releasing land for development as those who want to gut the Resource Management Act are fond of claiming," he told the conference.

    Hugh Pavletich, Christchurch-based co-author of the survey with Wendell Cox in the United States, criticised councils for ring-fencing cities which he said was strangling the supply of land crucial for development.

    "Houses should not cost any more than three years' annual incomes," he said, calling for more rural land to be freed up.

    "Less than 1.4 per cent of our land is urbanised, so there's no shortage of land for housing."

    The survey found Australians had the world's most pervasive housing affordability crisis, taking 6.6 years of full earnings to afford a house. New Zealand come in close behind, taking a median six years, followed by Ireland and Britain.

    Canadians have the world's most affordable houses, taking only 3.2 years of full earnings to afford a median-priced place. Americans score close behind, taking just 3.7 years of earnings to buy a house.

    The survey found many people living in North America were much better off than New Zealanders. Their housing markets are the world's more affordable.

    Darren Gibbs, chief economist of Deutsche Bank in Auckland, said low incomes were one of the reasons for NZ's poor ranking in the survey.

    "We have high house prices compared to low incomes and our incomes are low because we're not a productive country."


    How many years to buy a home?

    Number of years' income to buy house:
    * Australia 6.6 years.
    * New Zealand 6 years.
    * Ireland 5.7 years.
    * Britain 5.5 years.
    * United States 3.7 years.
    * Canada 3.2 years.
    Source: Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey.
    TOP QUOTE: “The problem with socialism is that sooner or later you run out of other people’s money.”

  2. #2
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    I was discussing this with a mate the other day.
    For the younger ones, getting into a house must be a damn scary proposition with the piss-poor wages the average person earns.

    It is also interesting with the Aussies!
    TOP QUOTE: “The problem with socialism is that sooner or later you run out of other people’s money.”

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    Same thing has happened in Perth. We have overtaken Sydney!
    Marty

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    Quote Originally Posted by Swoop View Post
    For the younger ones, getting into a house must be a damn scary proposition with the piss-poor wages the average person earns.
    It's even scarier for the older ones who missed buying before the boom.

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    And what's worse it that they are probably amongst the worse built houses in developed (if you could call NZ that) world.

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    I saw this happen in Queenstown, over the 9 years i was there house prices more than doubled. I blame foreign investment, people come from overseas with a strong $ and pay the asking price and more for places and just drive up the price for the rest of us.
    it will bite them in the bum when there is no service industry because the workers cant afford to live there!
    its Crazy Big Al but if your have lesbian fantasies you can read it crazy bi gal if you like!

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    This is pretty scary considering I wanna buy a house and start a family in a few years time :S

    -Indy
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  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by Indiana_Jones View Post
    This is pretty scary: I wanna .........start a family in a few years time
    That is pretty scary alright!

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    move to Australia!
    Quote Originally Posted by Indiana_Jones View Post
    This is pretty scary considering I wanna buy a house and start a family in a few years time :S

    -Indy
    its Crazy Big Al but if your have lesbian fantasies you can read it crazy bi gal if you like!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Squeak the Rat View Post
    That is pretty scary alright!
    I agree with that sentiment also

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    Quote Originally Posted by Swoop View Post
    The third Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey released today showed it takes Aucklanders 6.9 years of full annual earnings of $57,500 to afford the $395,000 median house price.

    If you're earning 57k, why would you live in an area where houses are only 395k?

    I think as usual statistics can say whatever you want them to, consider also the fact that 395k is roughly 7 times that 57k figure, what bank will lend you 7 times income for a mortgage?

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    There was another article in the paper the other day, where a farmer commented that land prices were now so high, that even a very efficient farmer would be unable to service the loan he needed to buy the land.

    Eventually the number of people speculating on ever growing land values will decrease. Land values will stabilise or more dangerously fall rapidly, leaving borrowers and banks with loans on houses that are only worth half the value of the land.

    The government faces the challenge of stopping the rapid growth in land values without causing the whole house of cards to fall down.

    The answer is tricky for a socialist government. A capitalist government would simplify the resource management act, over a period of 5-10 years, giving the market time to adjust. It would also impose capital gains tax on non-residential property (ie property you own but dont live in.)

    Labour can't do this - a) as the resource management act is their baby, so they wont abort it, and b) as dearly as they would like to impose a capital gains tax, it would reduce the number of investors in rental housing, forcing up rents.

    Currently rents are up, but the have not gone up as steeply as house prices have, so their hands are tied.

    Whatever happens, there is a lot of pain to come for someone !

    Glad I am not in heavy mortgage debt !
    David must play fair with the other kids, even the idiots.

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    I doubt the average Kiwi's love of Credit Cards and hire Purchase helps them geting into their own homes...I'm not a highly paid person and neither is my fiance and we had no trouble. Fortunately we got in nealy 4 years ago
    My apprentice and new bride followed some sound advice last year and bought thier first home in one of Tauranga's more expensive areas...he's paid $13hr and his young wife aint exactly creaming a huge salary either.
    Thier advice included debt avoidance 18months prior to purchasing a house and now, as well as a nice home he has a new bike, due to selling his cage and they can still afford life's little luxuries.

    Young people are spending big time on [financed]hotted up cars, mobile phones, designer clothing etc. and getting boozed at over priced bars at 18yrs of age...that's really why they're finding it hard to save for a deposit on their first homes.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Squeak the Rat View Post
    That is pretty scary alright!
    What are you trying to say? lol

    -Indy
    Hey, kids! Captain Hero here with Getting Laid Tip 213 - The Backrub Buddy!

    Find a chick who’s just been dumped and comfort her by massaging her shoulders, and soon, she’ll be massaging your prostate.


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    Quote Originally Posted by davereid View Post
    Eventually the number of people speculating on ever growing land values will decrease. Land values will stabilise or more dangerously fall rapidly, leaving borrowers and banks with loans on houses that are only worth half the value of the land.
    I am waithing with the cash in my hot little hand for this day!!! bring it on
    its Crazy Big Al but if your have lesbian fantasies you can read it crazy bi gal if you like!

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