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Thread: Why we have trouble reaching objective assessments (such as ACC)

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    Why we have trouble reaching objective assessments (such as ACC)

    Some people are trying to get an injunction to stop the CERN particle accelerator at the moment as they think it might destroy the earth in a black hole.

    But that's not the interesting bit. The interesting bit (quoted below) talks about some of the reasons why groups of people can't come up with objective assessments.

    The three below so describe ACC (or does it describe us but we are too blind to see it ...).

    http://www.newscientist.com/article/...-lhc-down.html
    Social scientists have identified a number of phenomena that can skew attempts to reach objective assessments of risk. For instance, cognitive dissonance describes the tendency of people to seek information that is consistent with their beliefs and to avoid information that is inconsistent. "Groupthink" describes a process by which intelligent individuals, working in a group, can reach a worry-free outlook that is not justified by the facts. And the phenomenon of confirmation bias - the tendency to filter information so as to confirm working hypotheses - was cited by the Columbia Accident Investigation Board as one explanation for why space shuttle programme managers ignored sure signs of trouble.

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    I think they're just scared that we'll find out God isn't real, and that the Church and the Government have been deceiving us all along!
    KiwiBitcher
    where opinion holds more weight than fact.

    It's better to not pass and know that you could have than to pass and find out that you can't. Wait for the straight.

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    Easy.

    None of us is as stupid as all of us.

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    you mean people are idiots
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    Knowledge is realizing that the street is one-way, wisdom is looking both directions anyway

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    The 50% rule. Put enough people in a room and half of them will disagree.

    ( ^ i'll claim that if there isn't already a source)

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    Ah yes - but the great think about science is its wrong.
    Always has been - even Einstein admitted to that.
    Stuff always will go outside the boundaries, and we will always be at a loss to wonder why. While the group may agree, the individual will still have conflict.
    Very hard to take face value and assume it raw data.
    Reactor Online. Sensors Online. Weapons Online. All Systems Nominal.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Dave View Post
    The 50% rule. Put enough people in a room and half of them will disagree.

    ( ^ i'll claim that if there isn't already a source)
    I dispute that!

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    Quote Originally Posted by avgas View Post
    Ah yes - but the great think about science is its wrong.
    Always has been - even Einstein admitted to that.
    Stuff always will go outside the boundaries, and we will always be at a loss to wonder why. While the group may agree, the individual will still have conflict.
    Very hard to take face value and assume it raw data.
    What you talkin' about?
    "Science" can not be wrong.The word,from the latin "scientia" means knowledge and therefore describes a concept that is constantly changing.
    At any moment in time true,science is correct by definition.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Dave View Post
    The 50% rule. Put enough people in a room and half of them will disagree.

    ( ^ i'll claim that if there isn't already a source)
    Thats why 2 people posting in the same thread on KB always degenerates into arguements, flame wars and general mayhem.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Pixie View Post
    What you talkin' about?
    "Science" can not be wrong.The word,from the latin "scientia" means knowledge and therefore describes a concept that is constantly changing.
    At any moment in time true,science is correct by definition.
    Actually your referring to "learning", knowledge is what you know.
    But what I was actually referring to the fact that Science is usually heavily regulated by those who enjoy the control, not the learning.
    People like Lorenz (among many others) hit the full force of this. Even after May, Mandelbrot, Koch, Feigenbaum all 're-proved' Lorenz's concepts......they were all boxed in with the 'crazies'. To date, very little about Fractals is put into science textbooks.
    So while the concept states that Scientia is all about the knowledge - the politics usually take priority.
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    Well this about sums it up for me.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_MaJDK3VNE

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    Quote Originally Posted by avgas View Post
    Actually your referring to "learning", knowledge is what you know.
    But what I was actually referring to the fact that Science is usually heavily regulated by those who enjoy the control, not the learning.
    People like Lorenz (among many others) hit the full force of this. Even after May, Mandelbrot, Koch, Feigenbaum all 're-proved' Lorenz's concepts......they were all boxed in with the 'crazies'. To date, very little about Fractals is put into science textbooks.
    So while the concept states that Scientia is all about the knowledge - the politics usually take priority.
    True!........Politics is the biggest box of crazies of all, especially the New Zealand brand of "mock" democracy!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Dave View Post
    The 50% rule. Put enough people in a room and half of them will disagree.

    ( ^ i'll claim that if there isn't already a source)
    I'm in two minds about that. Half of me agrees, the other half differs.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ixion View Post
    I'm in two minds about that. Half of me agrees, the other half differs.
    So is it he left side that agrees or the right side.

    My brain is in total unison in that neither can make up its mind whether to agree or disagree with the other side.


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