Moving cars are notoriously irrational
I was following a mate splitting many few years ago and the car in front of him moved to the right about a metre just as he was about to pass with a predictable outcome - it turned out the car driver had dropped his fag and bent down to pick it up. I generally only split when traffic is stationary because a still car isn't much of a threat and when the traffic starts moving I pull into the flow, wait for it to stop and carry on. Ive done it for years and never even had a close shave, so I'm guessing it's a way that works.
BTW my mate was the one who got the ticket.
Don't blame me, I voted Green.
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