"Statistics are used as a drunk uses lampposts - for support, not illumination."
Cant speak to that through experience, just a couple of comments.
The young and the old have a lesser ability to correctly judge the onset of oncoming vehicles. It's physiological, it's just a fact. It's why kids and old folks pull out in front of people.
It's dangerous to assume that someone is going to comply with the road rules, but we virtually have to, or we'd never get anywhere. For example, drove back from Hanmer this morning, and took it for granted each time that a car coming the other way would stay on their own side of the road. If I'd have stopped to make sure each time, I'd still be somewhere between Culverden and Waikari.
We have certain conventions of understanding with each other as road users. We expect everyone else to stay on their side of the road. When we're in a give way looking for a gap, we assume that an oncoming vehicle is within coo-eee of the speed limit. It's just an assumption we make.
Occasionally we get it wrong. We're human. Allowing for human error is important. Understanding that the other road users we share the road with are human and that we all make mistakes is an important part of the big road use picture.
I've seen that first hand, a learner driver in front of me, his Dad in passenger seat and sister in back. He stopped as if giving way to the oncoming traffic (before making right turn into side road) then half second later let the clutch out smoothly and drove into the path of an oncoming car. I was right behind him an could not believe it, thought the oncoming car was going to land on my bike as it lifted a good half metre clear of ground and rotated 180 deg, and this was in 50k zone. No one hurt but a good lesson for me to see early on in my riding days.
The poor innocent chap coming other way was quite upset as he'd previously been involved in a fatal (not his fault) and brought back bad memories etc...
which, actually, is the exactly the same thing that happens on a bike with respect to a car.
anyway since you're talkin about pre-flight checks, i'd like to point out that they have nothing to do with speed.
in fact they're normally performed with the plane immobile.
so it will land at around 20kmh.
a missed sign has little to do with speed by itself.
a missed sign in an information cluttered environment as a city road is more likely to be a slip within scanning procedures, a flaw in the way you look around you.
or maybe result of a distraction: was he alone, in the car? was he chatting, talking at the phone, messaging?
he was a tourist, so maybe he had no confidence with the road, with left driving rules, maybe he was looking at a map, he was trying to interpretate the gps, he was looking for a hotel...
and when you consider all the possibilities you'll realize that there is no actual speed which is "right" to avoid those slips, 'cause they don't depend by statistics or by general physic but they vary with any single person and even more, they vary, for the very same person, with time of the day, stress situation, sleep amount, mental load, nutritional situation, weather, conformation of the single road...
at the end of the evaluation process you'll find the only, real, undeniable truth: there's an intrinsic risk in anything we do, and these type of accident are not possible to be "prevented". ("safety is not the equivalent of risk-free" as the u.s. supreme court stated years ago...)
the only thing you can try to do is mitigate the outcome of the event.
since the threshold speed which more likely would permit victims to survive in similar tragic events is 30kmh (and that's the reason why this is the limit in residential and "sensible" areas), you'll end up to set a general speed limit around 20.
that's it...
so true![]()
What if we increased the speed limit to say, 150km/h (or your favourite)
But decreased the tolerance to 0 and increased all fines by a factor of 10?
"Those who would give up essential liberty to purchase a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety." - Benjamin Franklin (1706-90)
"I would rather be exposed to the inconveniences attending to much liberty than those attending too small a degree of it." - Thomas Jefferson (1743-1826)
"Motorcycling is not inherently dangerous. It is, however, EXTREMELY unforgiving of inattention, ignorance, incompetence and stupidity!" - Anonymous
"Live to Ride, Ride to Live"
Winding up drongos, foil hat wearers and over sensitive KBers for over 14,000 posts...........![]()
" Life is not a rehearsal, it's as happy or miserable as you want to make it"
they're talkin about it from the '80s.
it wouldn't be completely a bad idea.
here we have insurance companies that offer a lower price if you agree to put a gps box which constantly records your speed.
but i dare you to mount one: there's the possibility that if you have a problem within a 50kmh limit area and the box records 55, you would not be covered by the policy...
you say "only if you exceed 150". cool. but how long would it take for some moron seated in some government palace to decide that, since everybody have it, it'll be checked for any crash at any speed.
then good luck explaining that you had right of way and the other idiot has passed anyway...
anyway, heavy vehicles have all tachograph, so as soon they're stopped by police they could be fined for all the speeds they kept.
it doesn't seems me that they have particularly low crash records...
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