Presumably this bike thief is a part of the government's recent "fuck, the recidivism rate is too hard to fix - let's get rid of trying to reduce it" announcement?
Go directly to jail, do not collect $200-.
TOP QUOTE: “The problem with socialism is that sooner or later you run out of other people’s money.”
The short version of how deterrence is meant to work:https://www.ncjrs.gov/pdffiles1/nij/247350.pdf
That is an interesting link with a thoughtfully-presented argument. Nevertheless, I think it largely ignores one of the fundamental reasons for imprisonment; the visibility of punishment for the benefit of the the injured party as well as the wider community. We hear a lot of gabble about victimless crimes; but people usually end up in prison for crimes where there are very specific well-defined and much-harmed victims. An increased likelihood of the criminal being apprehended doesn't help the victim get closure. A sentence of 10 years in prison does help the victim in that regard; it also - to state the bleeding obvious - stops the criminal from reoffending for the period of incarceration.
Perhaps we should look at strategies to age criminals quickly to age 35? The study comments "But that incapacitation is a costly way to deter future crimes by aging individuals who already are less likely to commit those crimes by virtue of age." One could equally point out that "failing to incarcerate those individuals to age them, and leaving them free to commit more crimes while they are young and energetic, is even more costly to their victims and the community." And in terms of cost, a good old-fashioned road-gang, sack-sewing and rock-breaking regime would burn off some of that energy and provide some Return On Investment.
Unfortunately, the study simply tells us we shouldn't send people to prison as it does not effectively deter them. It doesn't tell us what we should do.
And lastly, it falls into the usual trap that the death penalty doesn't deter. It does; an executed murderer doesn't kill again. That murderer is effectively and 100% deterred.
In some less civilized countries punishment for crime is marriage. Should find him a nice whole lot of Rosie![]()
I've spent my money on bikes, booze and babes. The rest I've wasted....
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