
Originally Posted by
Coldkiwi
i just had a conversation with a mate of mine who did a BSc in Stats at Uni about that program. I didn't see it but debated that speed was the cause of fatal accidents and said that 'rider error' was the primary cause. I then mentioned i had doubts about LTSA's crash data havign seen their loaded questions and stats. His response was:
Trust me - you give me a table of figures showing the annual wheat production
in France, and I'll be able to use it to prove that the most common source of
fatal motorcycle accidents is actually accidentally pressing the ejector seat
while driving under a bridge. Statistics prove anything.
..and he's quite right!
for instance:
"50% of British 11 year olds know of someone who is currently having sex in
their year at school."
It might not have been 11 year olds.. might have been 10 or 12, but anyway....
look at the wording. It's stupid. 50% know of someone having sex. So, let's say
we have 2 schools, with 300 11 yr olds each. of these 600 kids, 1 is having sex.
Just one. Everyone at school is going to know about it, so all of a sudden, 50%
of the pool of 600 kids know about it. Chances are some of the kids from school
A are friends with kids from school B. All it takes is for 1 person from school
B to hear about it, and then they will all know about it, and now it's up to
100% of the kids know. Add in school C... and so on and so forth.,....
So really, saying that 50% of the kids know someone having sex only means that
there is at least 1 person in the whole of Britain who is having sex, and is 11,
and that the school networking system isn't perfect... there are some schools
who are totally isolated from others.
BEWARE THE STATISTICIANS!
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