I am impressed with this comment. Anyone who knows anything about statistics & mathematical modelling (and/or just has plain common sense) will know that in real life there are limits to any relationship between two variables i.e. Q: Is this true? - Double the rate of traffic infringements = halve the rate of road deaths, 4 x traffic infringements = 1/4 the road deaths etc.
Conversely - what is the ratio of total estimated Police time on traffic vs non-traffic duties. What impact to actual criminal crime does an increase in traffic duty time have?
My job as a business analyst is essentially all about finding such optimal balances. I too would question the significance further increases of the rate of traffic infringements would have on a reduction in the road toll.
If anyone wants to post a reliable source of the annual number of traffic infringements vs. the annual road toll, I'd be happy to throw the two into a graph for all to see.
Another bit of interesting info would be the historical annual revenue from traffic infringements which I could adjust for inflation and plot again.
Oh, and maybe other developed countries road toll's vs number of traffic infringements or revenue collected which could then be adjusted to a per capita figure and then overlayed with governmental roading expenditure... that would really give some perspective on NZ vs. other countries.
The LTSA, ACC and NZ Police must collectively have hundreds of people with access to this sort of information - though I wonder when they crunch 'their numbers' what the goal is? It may have started out as savings lives and probably still is, though somewhere along the way did making a few dollars get unofficially added?
Hell, we know that sometimes it takes a certain number of deaths on a section of dangerous road before Government authorities will react with improvements to the road or cheaper speed limit reductions, so don't think for one minute that from a Government agency perspective - dollars and traffic deaths aren't linked.
In a nutshell, it's fair to say a number of Kiwis are now pretty suspicious and/or doubting the: thinking behind; and resulting policies that are arising in the traffic relm. We're told the road toll must come down, that it's too high and for that we see a doubling of the number of issued traffic infringements over a 10 year period to the point where 1.6 million were issued in a single year!
Here's my challenge (please don't actually do it):
A. Drive on your local motorway or main highway at 115-120kph - see how far you get before being busted.
B. Phone the Police for a "minor crime" i.e. a stolen car stereo, a spotted tagger in action etc - what is the response?
How many other Kiwi lives could be saved if the equivalent man-power and resources that the NZ police dedicate to traffic were deployed towards other Kiwi-killers? Think obesity related deaths, suicide etc.
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