Full disclosure time. I'm the KBer that Candor has been sending the information to.
I've spent quite a bit of time reading the information that Candor's sent BRONZ. It's very tricky to do this, as some of the information presented is in the form of snippets of OIA releases and some appears to be email transcripts, and there is potential for a fair chunk of it to be taken out of context, and I have to wonder if this is the intention. However, I've given it the benefit of the doubt here as I imagine there's a lot of information to sift through and Candor's trying to give a "summary of the facts", as it were.
I won't presume to speak for BRONZ here, as we haven't looked at this on an official level, but I'll give MY OWN, personal view of what I've been presented.
Herein lies my two big problems:
1. Information is incomplete
2. Some has OIA stamps on it; the "smoking gun" stuff however doesn't. This makes it difficult for me to verify.
Now there is no doubt in my mind that there are a number of bureaucrats in Wellington that have been charged with creating the Resource Allocation Model, which dealt with how to police the roads in order to lower the road toll, and that Tony Bliss, an economist, was part of this group, a role he had the qualifications to perform. I have NO DOUBT WHATSOEVER their intentions were good. It appears that Tony Bliss was in time offered a role in the World Bank, again a role he had the qualifications to perform.
They developed a formula to assess the success of this work. They advised the Minister at the time (George Hawkins) that they needed time to prove their theory. They initially felt three years would show enough of a trend but this figure seems to be constantly changing as they found that road accidents were more random than their original theory was able to deal with. So they've made modifications to the formula and advised the minister that they felt, hand on heart, that this method would bring the results.
The Minister has given them time for their models to try and work, the road toll has dropped a bit, but they aren't easily able to provide a link due to the randomness of crashes. This merry-go-round has continued through the next two ministers.
So are they ideologically driven? Absolutely.
Is there a conspiracy? I very much doubt it. What we have here is bureaucracy in its purest form. Ministers charge their public servants to come up with the best advice they can get.
I'll continue reading it, in case there's something I've missed, but I just don't see the conspiracy here at this point.
And I to my motorcycle parked like the soul of the junkyard. Restored, a bicycle fleshed with power, and tore off. Up Highway 106 continually drunk on the wind in my mouth. Wringing the handlebar for speed, wild to be wreckage forever.
- James Dickey, Cherrylog Road.
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