Ken Ring's predicted earthquake for 20 March?

[Drunken Monkey]

... When was the last time a geologist gave us a laugh?

On American Dad:

[steve_t]

Absolutely and it is watching you as we speak!

WTF? I read your post and looked out the ranch slider and the frickin cat is sitting there looking at me. I don't think the cat's psychic but you could be!!

[avgas]

I predict an aftershock tomorrow in Chch.
I predict and aftershock tomorrow in Japan.
I predict a minor quake in California or Mexico tomorrow.

All these predictions are more accurate than ken rings - will let you know if I am 100% correct.

[Swoop]

Perhaps if more people listened to what the scientists were predicting years ago, Chch might have been more prepared...

A very valid point. The "new" building code for the region will be substantially upgraded... as will housing prices.

the alternative being what, exactly?

Perhaps using their immense wealth of knowledge and research to actually make some "educated guesses" as to when events will occur.
As you say: it isn't generally some eureka moment by some dude working in isolation for years and years suddenly having a breakthrough, it is years and years and thousands of hours of boring, repetitive grind.
If their research and data is good, let's see some serious predictions of their own which blows Ken Ring's predictions out of the water.

[scissorhands]

Perhaps using their immense wealth of knowledge and research to actually make some "educated guesses" as to when events will occur.
As you say: it isn't generally some eureka moment by some dude working in isolation for years and years suddenly having a breakthrough, it is years and years and thousands of hours of boring, repetitive grind.
If their research and data is good, let's see some serious predictions of their own which blows Ken Ring's predictions out of the water.

Ken Rings work is similar to that of John Britten. The major race bike manufacturers were stumped by a kiwi working out of his shed, on his first ever bikes.

+10 for the little guy, sour lemons for the oligarchy.

[steve_t]

Ken Rings work is similar to that of John Britten. The major race bike manufacturers were stumped by a kiwi working out of his shed, on his first ever bikes.

+10 for the little guy, sour lemons for the oligarchy.

You'd better be ing. No way can you seriously compare Ken Ring to John Britten!!

[Dadpole]

Using that analogy, John Britten would have promised a world-leading bike, taken their money, then delivered a copy of a Honda C50.

[scissorhands]

You'd better be ing. No way can you seriously compare Ken Ring to John Britten!!

Both came along and head rocked the 'experts', who with all their money and science were unable to step up.

Caesars ugly mob needs to have a beer, lighten up and use their imagination a little bit.

Oh they're not autistic enough to imagine a new way? same old, same old, same as before then!

[mashman]

twat. how do you think science progresses? it isn't generally some eureka moment by some dude working in isolation for years and years suddenly having a breakthrough, it is years and years and thousands of hours of boring, repetitive grind.

It isn't?

[steve_t]

Both came along and head rocked the 'experts', who with all their money and science were unable to step up.

Caesars ugly mob needs to have a beer, lighten up and use their imagination a little bit.

Oh they're not autistic enough to imagine a new way? same old, same old, same as before then!

John Britten used science and engineering to create an amazing machine. He wasn't a magician, feline psychic interpreter, or fortune teller before discovering he could make money from gullible folk by making unfounded claims using specious reasoning. Hasn't the lack of a 'massive earthquake' on the 20th convinced you that Ken Ring's credibility is basically zero? You say the naysayers need to lighten up, I say the willfully blind need to open their eyes. Actually, I don't care what people believe. It was just the comparison between Ring and Britten that got my back up

[pzkpfw]

It isn't?...

When he found he didn't have the math he needed to fully express his ideas, he went and did the hard grind of upping his knowledge.

He wasn't the "just a patent clerk who failed maths at school who had a flash of inspiration" that popular myth suggests.

His work also added to and built on work of previous scientists. He didn't single handedly overturn science with something new.

Finally, even much of the stuff he proved "wrong" is actually still in use in situations where it's "good enough". Newtons laws, for example.


Bad example. Every crackpot makes the "they laughed at {insert scientist name here} too!". Doesn't mean a thing.

[mashman]

When he found he didn't have the math he needed to fully express his ideas, he went and did the hard grind of upping his knowledge.

He wasn't the "just a patent clerk who failed maths at school who had a flash of inspiration" that popular myth suggests.

His work also added to and built on work of previous scientists. He didn't single handedly overturn science with something new.

Finally, even much of the stuff he proved "wrong" is actually still in use in situations where it's "good enough". Newtons laws, for example.


Bad example. Every crackpot makes the "they laughed at {insert scientist name here} too!". Doesn't mean a thing.

Seriously, he provided nothing new? Ok. Same as Issac Newton then, or Pythagoras? In which case John Britten knew what an engine was and didn't do anything remarkable from his shed (i don't believe that by the way)

Added: Anyone can learn something new should they choose to. Doesn't mean that they is special... but what they do with that knowledge is another matter entirely

[idb]

Both came along and head rocked the 'experts', who with all their money and science were unable to step up.

Caesars ugly mob needs to have a beer, lighten up and use their imagination a little bit.

Oh they're not autistic enough to imagine a new way? same old, same old, same as before then!

"He's not the Messiah...he's a very naughty boy!"

[pzkpfw]

Seriously, he provided nothing new?

Seriously, your reading comprehension skills are that bad?

[idb]

On American Dad:

"Geologists Have Big Stones"