(Some) problems associated with government support of private companies:
1) why (do they have a sustainable business model even if more $$ are thrown at them [a la US car manufacturers, which don't]. If they do fail, won't someone take them over anyway and run a leaner business model with the same branding)?
2) what for (to service debt, acquire equity [a la Air NZ] or just carry on paying the fat cats' annual bonuses [a la AIG)?
3) where does it (the financial support) end (1,2,3,6,12 months? Forever?)?
4) how does the govt measure how well the bale out is being used, and when - as the actress said to the bishop - should it pull out? I had to sit down in disbelief just after Christmas, when a US Treasury spokesman got up in front of the world's media and admitted that they didn't know how the (first) $700m had been spent. Fark, I think that if I had just dished out that sort of dosh, I'd want to know exactly where it had gone on a weekly, if not daily basis. What-A-Dick.
5) when (tomorrow, next week, next year? ie when they're almost in the poo, or completely up to their eyeballs?)?
6) who gets it and what criteria are used (F&P, State Ins, Farmers, Rebel Sport, etc [not that they're all in the poo yet]).
7) return to 1) Why?
It's a really tricky one.
I don't agree that govt should support private enterprise directly, but at times like this keeping people in jobs has to be priority, cos if people aren't in jobs, they aren't spending, which reduces retail demand, which takes down businesses, which creates redundancies. Full circle. And off it goes all over again.
The other thing that commentators are now starting to talk about is consumer confidence. If people are pessimistic, then they'll stop spending regardless of whether they're in a job or not. Bugger.
However, how do you instill confidence into people to make then spend again - now that's gonna require some real leadership from someone...maybe it's time the Big Fella paid us a second visit.
Therefore, the biggest trick is to keep people parting with their $$$.
Some in socialist Europe are talking about there needing to be a fundamental change to the capitalist model, and to be fair they're probably not wrong (I've been telling people that the days of capitalism are numbered, for about the past three years). I mean, who looks up at bankers and financiers that got the world into this mess and doesn't say "Greedy bastards. If only I could get my hands on them".
Those people will, however, rot in Hell. Of that I have no doubt, and I'll be first in the queue stoking the fires.
PS I'm a pessimist on this one (did ya guess
). The world economy is in complete freefall presently and has a looong way to go yet. NZ has only just walked up to the edge of the precipice and is looking over the edge...
I'd give it 12 months or less before we start to realise we're in deep hole, and we ain't got no ladder.
Finally, an unstable economic world, plus growing envy and uncertainty over scarce resources could lead us down some really dangerous paths.
[I'm off to take a happy pill or five]
It's back..."Political Correctness is a doctrine, fostered by a delusional, illogical, liberal minority and rabidly promoted by an unscrupulous mainstream media, which holds forth the proposition that it is entirely possible to pick up a turd by the clean end."
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