Just to stick my oar in here.
80% and 90% DOD figures and cycles may not be indicative of the life of a lithium starter battery. 5% or 10% DOD figures might be relevant. Testing on my bike fitted with an Ultrabatt Lithium, shows that if it takes me five attempts of 5 seconds duration to start my bike that the battery is fully charged after about 5 minutes riding. I doubt that over a 10 year life that most people would reach 80% DOD more than 50 times (5 times a year).
If we are trying to work out what will last longer, and how much longer we have to look at real world failure rates. Unfortunately LiFePO4 starter batteries with inbuilt BMS systems have only been around for a 2 years and LiFePO4 batteries without BMS systems have probably only been around for 3 to 4 years in any significant numbers. We have good experience of lithium batteries used in Electric Vehicles with BMS systems, but their usage patterns are very different.
It seems that the most common 4 causes of battery failure listed in order (from anecdotal dealer feed back are)
- Battery being overcharged by faulty regulator (Voltages between 15V and 20V - A very common cause of failure for lead acid and no good for LiFePO4 batteries either! - many so called battery dealers don't take two minutes to do a free voltage regulation check when they install a new battery and the same thing that prematurely killed the last battery kills the next one.
- Batteries being consistently under charged by faulty regulator (Charging voltages between 11V and 14.2V for example - Lithiums don't mind this so much but it is a real killer for lead acid batteries.)
- *Batteries being flattened by self discharge due to bike not being ridden often enough (A very common cause of premature failure for lead acid batteries, almost never hear about it with LiFePO4 batteries going flat due to long intervals between bike being used)
- *being flattened in total loss race setups. Not good for either lithium or lead acid batteries.
- Suspected internal disconnection of plates or cells due to vibration (this seems to be suspected when a battery fails within a very short time of purchase and over voltage charging is not measured)
- Internal and External short circuiting (relatively rare for lead acid and lithium batteries).
*According to one of the other distributors even lithium batteries that don't have anti-bricking circuitry that are totally flattened in total loss systems (or due to have interior lights left on) can be resurrected with an external BMS charger. But I don't think any subsequent capacity tests have been done on these recovered batteries? And we have no way of knowing how much this might reduce the life span of the battery?
After two years we know that LiFePO4 batteries with inbuilt BMS systems are less than 1% accrued after two years compared to about 14% for lead acid batteries. We know that about 25% of lead acid batteries fail in the first 3 years and about 33% fail in the 4th year, and about 48% by the end of 5 years! which is much higher than I ever expected when I started our reliability survey. I will be very interested to see what the premature failure rate on Lithium batteries with in-built BMS systems will be after 3, 4 and 5years. I suspect it will be well less than 10%.... after 5 years (or 400% more reliable) but only time will tell.
What we need now is some statistics for a two year period from a LiFePO4 batteries that don't have a BMS in them, for comparison purposes from some of the other distributors and manufacturers. But so far I have seen no failure statistics released on these ....yet.
We have some anecdotal indications from our dealers that they are already experiencing a much higher failure rate on LiFePO4 batteries that don't have BMS systems and this is making them very shy of lithium batteries in general. (This is one of the two key reasons that most motorcycle shops don't promote lithium batteries, once bitten, twice shy). We had one dealer in Newmarket tell us last week that he had two of these fail within a very short time on his own bike and he is now very wary of ALL lithium batteries.
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