I'll agree with you as far as that the chances of this making it to production are probably 50% or less.
But as for it being a dumb idea?
The cost to develop shouldn't be too high. They're only going to need a couple of Nm to keep thecrank spinning - I'd have thought that the PM alternators used in most bike engines these days would be capable of this if you used them in the BLDC motor mode instead of the generator mode. So they likely already have the needed part strapped to the engine. It may need to be jigged around a little to optimise for torque production but it's basically the same thing.
The software to do it is trivial - look at a washing machine for the motor drive strategy. And as a bonus, the electronics to do it would be a couple of dollars worth at most. As it would replace the PM Alternator's reg/rectifier anyway, the cost should be almost neutral as should the weight. Especially if it can also replace the starter motor.
Not a bad plan to be honest. Although as I say, it's probably only 50% likely to actually make it to market
Originally Posted by thealmightytaco
Its a shit idea.
The R&D cost would be enormous. Your asking developers to not only produce an electric motor that interacts with a petrol engine on a part time basis, but also act as a generator and starter motor.
I work as a Workshop Manager responsible for the production of proof of concepts and prototypes-all of these are electronically controlled motors. I see the amount of time and testing it takes to not only validate the mechanical/electrical design, but also the software. The process is costly, slow and contains many pitfalls, what looks simple on paper can prove infuriating to implement even with a large collection of electrical/mechanical geniuses [like we have]. Once a prototype is designed and appears to run well, the validation process on single parts/collective parts/processes must start. This lengthy process can send the project team scurrying back to the drawing board to redesign even at the 11th hour.
When considering the sales strategy to design, manufacture and market such an idea potential return is the ONLY concern. The number of ZX10's needed to be manufactured to enable a healthy return would need to be very high. Couple that with a projected weak worldwide economy and low present demand and chances of this idea happening are very low.
IMHO I think Kawasaki would be better off developing an all electric Superbike and ditching the petrol engine all together, this would likely take a few years to develop placing the company in an ideal position to cash in when the collective economies pick-up.
I see your point, but remember Kawasaki is Kawasaki. They're not a motorcycle company, they're a heavy industries manufacturer -- aeroplanes, trains, ships, robots, whatever. The only reason they got into motorcycles was as a showcase, to make their brand and level of technical expertise visible to ordinary consumers.
So maybe the next ZX10R won't ever come close to breaking even, but they might be quite happy to write it off as simple advertising. Plus it's not like they throw that R&D work away -- they can use that knowledge on every iteration after that. Maybe there's even parallels to stuff they're doing in their main product categories.
In many respects it's not dissimilar to what Honda have been doing for decades (wasn't it the CBR250RR (and the VFR400?) that lost money on every one sold -- note Kawasaki had to match them with the ZXR250).
If it gives the bike even a tenth of a second on a laptime or saves 500grams in weight it won't be money wasted, Kawasaki's development budget and resources are massive. Fuel injection, active steering dampers, ABS, traction control have all cost millions to develop. Seems like a smart idea.
I love the smell of twin V16's in the morning..
And I maintain that it's a reasonable idea that would at least bear looking into, as Kawasaki must be doing at least in some way if they are filing for a patent. That implies that they most likely have a working prototype already.
I don't believe the R&D cost would be that high. The motor technology is practically off-the-shelf - admittedly it needs a fairly fast speed-control loop, but it's not massive. There's nothing to invent here, just development work make the idea solid.
Whilst we're stating credentials, I manage a team developing motor control electronics for a major international. Believe me when I say I am more than familiar with various types of electric motors and the methods of controlling them, and with managing development engineering projects. I'm also familiar with R&D budgets. Given the constraints of using the existing engine and developing a motor/generator/starter system to fit into the alternator casing (for example) I reckon you'd do it for about 1,000,000 USD including tooling. Which is pocket change to a company like KHI.
Admittedly the economy will have a negative effect on this kind of development. But as I say, if they're patenting it they must have done some work on it - whether it will see mass production or not is another story.
The same could be said for the original idea - when the economy picks up they'll be in an ideal place to make use of it. And it doesn't rely on fundamentally difficult research like battery technology, which IS expensive.
Anyway, I can see your POV, it would be an expensive excersise like all development engineering is. I just don't agree with your outright dismissal of the idea. I hope Kawasaki make a go of it, it's about time we saw more interesting engine technology instead of the same old shit refined slightly here and there.
Originally Posted by thealmightytaco
Maybe jonbouy, maybe.
If Kawasaki wanted to actually win, purchasing the necessary riders to help facilitate that would be the first step. their performance in MotoGP, Superbikes and Supersport is abysmal.
Regardless of their collective resources Kawasaki seems incapable of producing the bike, the team and the rider-being big is sometimes a negative thing!
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